San Ramon Earthquake Forecast

Last Event: 2026-02-12 06:01:40 PST | Generated: 2026-02-13 07:59:00 PST | Elapsed: 25.96h

Swarm Risk (Next 24 Hours): LOW (4.0%)

Seismic activity frequency is within normal limits. (Probability of >5 events)

Short-Term Probabilities

Threshold4h8h12h24h48h
Mag ≥ 20.0%0.0%1.0%2.0%6.0%
Mag ≥ 30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Mag ≥ 40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Mag ≥ 50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Long-Term Probabilities

Threshold4 Days7 Days14 Days30 Days
Mag ≥ 211.0%18.0%33.0%49.0%
Mag ≥ 30.0%1.0%4.0%9.0%
Mag ≥ 40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Mag ≥ 50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Visualizations